Злой рок. Политика катастроф

UNAIDS, How AIDS Changed Everything, p. 33.
Вернуться
 875  
Tony Barnett and Justin Parkhurst, «HIV/AIDS: Sex, Abstinence, and Behaviour Change», Lancet, September 2005, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473–3099 (05) 70219X; Emily Oster, «HIV and Sexual Behavior Change: Why Not Africa?» Journal of Health Economics 31, no. 1 (January 2012), pp. 35–49, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S016762961100172X.
Вернуться
 876  
Brooke E. Wells and Jean M. Twenge, «Changes in Young People’s Sexual Behavior and Attitudes, 1943–1999: A Cross-Temporal Meta-Analysis», Review of General Psychology 9, no. 3 (September 2005), pp. 249–261.
Вернуться
 877  
Nicholas H. Wolfinger, «Nine Decades of Promiscuity», Institute for Family Studies, February 6, 2018, https://ifstudies.org/blog/nine-decadesofpromiscuity.
Вернуться
 878  
Steven Reinberg, «Only About One-Third of Americans Use Condoms: CDC», WebMD, August 10, 2017, https://www.webmd.com/sex/news/20170810/only-about-one-thirdofamericans-use-condoms-cdc#1; Rachael Rettner, «US Men’s Condom Use Is on the Rise», LiveScience, August 10, 2017, https://www.livescience.com/60095-condom-use-men.html.
Вернуться
 879  
Peter Ueda, Catherine H. Mercer, and Cyrus Ghaznavi, «Trends in Frequency of Sexual Activity and Number of Sexual Partners Among Adults Aged 18 to 44 Years in the US, 2000–2018», JAMA Network Open 3, no. 6 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.3833.
Вернуться
 880  
National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles, Natsal, http://www.natsal.ac.uk/home.aspx.
Вернуться
 881  
Отсылка к одноименному британскому фарсу 1971 года и его киноверсии 1973 года.
Вернуться
 882  
Kaye Wellings et al., «Changes in, and Factors Associated with,
Frequency of Sex in Britain: Evidence from three National Surveys of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles (Natsal)», BMJ 365, no. l1525 (2019), pp. 1–9, https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l1525.
Вернуться
 883  
Ueda, Mercer, and Ghaznavi, «Trends in Frequency of Sexual Activity», eTable 6.
Вернуться
 884  
CDC, «HIV in the United States and Dependent Areas», https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/statistics/overview/ataglance.html.
Вернуться
 885  
CDC, «2018 STD Surveillance Report», https://www.cdc.gov/nchhstp/newsroom/2019/2018-STD-surveillance-report.html.
Вернуться
 886  
James Gorman, «Are Face Masks the New Condoms?» New York Times, April 18, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/18/health/coronavirus-mask-condom.html.
Вернуться
 887  
Учитывая, что по правилам пари в число «жертв» входили люди, «нуждающиеся в госпитализации», Рис выиграл задолго до сентября 2020 года, когда общее число погибших превысило миллион. К сожалению для него, ставка составляла скромные 400 долларов. (Прим. авт.)
Вернуться
 888  
For Rees’s «Long Now» interview on the subject in 2010, see FORA.tv, «Biotech Disaster by 2020? Martin Rees Weighs the Risks», September 14, 2010, YouTube video, 3:50, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqOBNft2OM.
Вернуться
 889  
Подробности пари: Bet 9, Long Bets Project, http://longbets.org/9/.
Вернуться
 890  
Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress (New York: Viking, 2018), pp. 142, 301, 307.
Вернуться
 891  
Laurie Garrett, «The Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/next-pandemic.
 
Вернуться
 892  
Dan Balz, «America Was Unprepared for a Major Crisis. Again», Washington Post, April 4, 2020, https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/america-was-unprepared-foramajor-crisis-again/.
Вернуться
 893  
Michael Osterholm, «Preparing for the Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/preparing-next-pandemic.
Вернуться
 894  
Larry Brilliant, «My Wish: Help Me Stop Pandemics», February 2006, TED video, 25:38, https://www.ted.com/talks/larry_brilliant_my_wish_help_me_stop_pandemics.
Вернуться
 895  
Ian Goldin and Mike Mariathasan, The Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks and What to Do About It (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2014), chap. 6.
Вернуться
 896  
Bill Gates, «The Next Outbreak: We’re Not Ready», March 2015, TED video, 8:25, https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gates_the_next_outbreak_we_re_not_ready.
Вернуться
 897  
Robert G. Webster, Flu Hunter: Unlocking the Secrets of a Virus (Otago, New Zealand: University of Otago Press, 2018).
Вернуться
 898  
Ed Yong, «The Next Plague Is Coming. Is America Ready?» Atlantic, July/August 2018, https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/07/when-the-next-plague-hits/561734/.
Вернуться
 899  
Thoughty2, «This Is the New Killer Virus That Will End Humanity», November 15, 2019, YouTube video, 15:35, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jhz0pVSKtI &app=desktop.
Вернуться
 900  
Lawrence Wright, The End of October (New York: Random House, 2020). Эта книга предположительно была завершена в 2019 г.
Вернуться
 901  
Peter Frankopan, «We Live in the Age of the Pandemic. This Is What We Need to Do About It», Prospect, December 8, 2019, https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/pandemic-likelihood-preparednessukwho-global.
Вернуться
 902  
A. S. Fauci, «Infectious Diseases: Considerations for the 21st Century», IDSA lecture, Clinical Infectious Diseases 32 (2001), pp. 675–678. О трудностях с противотуберкулезными вакцинами см.: Morven E. M. Wilkie and Helen McShane, «TB Vaccine Development: Where Are We and Why Is It So Difficult?» Thorax 70 (2015), pp. 299–301, https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2014-205202.
Вернуться
 903  
David M. Morens et al., «The Challenge of Emerging and Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 430 (July 8, 2004), pp. 242–249; Robin A. Weiss, «The Leeuwenhoek Lecture, 2001: Animal Origins of Human Infectious Diseases», Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Biological Sciences 356 (2001), pp. 957-77. См. также: Dorothy H. Crawford, Deadly Companions: How Microbes Shaped Our History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. 214f.
Вернуться
 904  
K. E. Jones et al., «Global Trends in Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 451 (February 2008), pp. 990–994.
Вернуться
 905  
Vittoria Colizza et al., «The Role of the Airline Transportation Network in the Prediction and Predictability of Global Epidemics», PNAS 103, no. 7 (2006), pp. 2015–2020. См. также: Globalization 101, «Health and Globalization», SUNY Levin Institute, http://www.globalization101.org.